FNUS75 KGJT 070351
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAY MESA II...MOAB BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
951 PM MDT WED OCT 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEDNESDAY'S PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT
BASIN ON THURSDAY. IT WILL THEN BRUSH THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY AS
IT LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. AS A RESULT WET AND CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...THEN
DIMINISH A LITTLE FOR FRIDAY AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE WEST.
THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION AGAIN ON
ON THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

.THURSDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-5 MPH) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH. INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH AFTER
                    NOON...THEN AFTER 1400 INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. AT TIMES ERRATIC
                    THUNDERSTORM WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
                    MPH MAY DOMINATE.
CLEARING INDEX......350 INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    POSSIBLE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS MAY DOMINATE AT TIMES.
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH
                    STRONGER WINDS NEAR
                    SHOWERS.
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THEN 200.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 0-5 MPH...INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH AFTER
                    NOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......150 INCREASING TO 600 IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...CLARK MAUGHAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101007.RAYME.01/GJT