FNUS73 KJKL 071219
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
819 AM EDT THU OCT 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0759 EDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND BRING NOTHING MORE THAN A FEW
CLOUDS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY AND USHER IN A DRY AND MILD AIR MASS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS WILL LIKELY
FALL TO LESS THAN 25 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
                    EARLY EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........10     29     27     19     16     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     57     66     73     75     72
RH..............70     55     45     34     30     32
20 FT WIND......SW 3   W 3    W 5    W 6    NW 6   NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     10     5
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. PATCHY FOG LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH AROUND 0 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH AROUND 0 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........6      4      3      3      3      3
WEATHER COV.....                     PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG
TEMP............58     51     46     44     41     38
RH..............49     62     72     76     85     95
20 FT WIND......NW 1   N 0    N 0    N 0    N 0    N 0
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........3      3      2      2      1      1
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     53     66     74     77     74
RH..............100    68     44     30     25     27
20 FT WIND......N 0    W 0    SW 1   W 2    W 3    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...HARLEY
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101007.BEAR_.01/JKL