FNUS73 KJKL 071551
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1151 AM EDT THU OCT 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0759 EDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING A SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION. WINDS WILL
SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST BY 1 PM...WITH WIND SPEEDS
REMAINING AROUND 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL USHER IN A DRY
AND MILD AIR MASS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
AFTERNOONS WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LESS THAN 5 MPH BY EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........4      6      5      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     73     75     72
RH..............40     31     29     31
20 FT WIND......W 5    NW 6   NW 6   NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     5
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH LESS THAN 3 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH LESS THAN 3 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........1      1      1      1      2      2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     57     52     50     49     48
RH..............40     51     59     63     65     68
20 FT WIND......NW 1   N 0    N 0    N 0    N 0    N 0
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...WEST LESS THAN 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST LESS THAN 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........3      3      2      2      1      1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     53     66     74     77     74
RH..............68     54     37     29     24     27
20 FT WIND......N 0    W 0    SW 1   W 2    W 3    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...HARLEY
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101007.BEAR_.01/JKL