FNUS76 KMFR 071502
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCINTOSH UNDERBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
802 AM PDT THU OCT 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA
AND EASTERN OREGON TODAY WITH MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE BACK SIDE
OF THE LOW. THIS WILL BRING LIGHT SHOWERS TO THE BURN AREA TODAY WITH
SHOWERS GRADUALLY MOVING EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY DRY THE AIR MASS FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE INLAND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A
STRONGER FRONT SUNDAY. THE FRONT ON SATURDAY WILL BRING CLOUDY
SKIES AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS THEN EXPECT SOME ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS SUNDAY WITH THE NEXT FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE AND
DRYING CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    BECOMING ISOLATED IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH INCREASING
                     TO 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                     GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH INCREASING
                     TO 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                     GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH  INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON AND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR LATE
                    IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    DECREASING TO  0 TO 2 MPH OVERNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    DECREASING TO  2 TO 4 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-3000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING LOWERING
                    TO 500-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    DECREASING TO 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO
                    3500-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...STEVE CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101007.MCINT.01/MFR