FNUS73 KUNR 071301
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SLEEZ 33...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
701 AM MDT THU OCT 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER
TO MID 70S AT THE BURN SITE. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF NEAR
25 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT AND A CHANCE ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA
FRIDAY BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 20
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 TO 7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 TO 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................17 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...USFS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101007.SLEEZ.02/UNR