FNUS75 KBOU 082139 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CHURCHES PARK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 338 PM MDT FRI OCT 8 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SATURDAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DECREASE BY 2400 TONIGHT. MEANWHILE ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL LINGER ON SATURDAY FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....29. MAX HUMIDITY........69%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7600-8600 FT AGL AFTER 1000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....36. MAX HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8600 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 3400-4400 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0900. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-8000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CHURCHES PARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/08-15 79 56 48 49 W 17 28 3 5 SW38 10000 SW 29 247591 E 10/08-16 79 56 47 49 W 16 5 9317 W 28 222143 E 10/08-17 79 56 46 50 W 15 5 8633 W 26 196694 E 10/08-18 60 29 45 51 W 14 22 3 2 W23 7950 W 25 171246 E 10/08-19 60 29 42 57 W 13 2 6204 W 23 129948 V 10/08-20 60 29 39 62 W 12 2 4458 W 22 88649 G 10/08-21 54 29 37 64 W 10 16 2 1 NW21 2712 W 20 47350 F 10/08-22 54 29 36 67 W 9 1 2156 W 17 34876 P 10/08-23 54 29 35 67 W 9 1 1601 W 14 22402 P 10/09-00 54 20 34 69 W 8 13 2 1 W25 1045 W 10 9928 P 10/09-01 54 20 33 68 W 8 1 929 W 10 8338 P 10/09-02 54 20 32 66 W 7 1 813 W 9 6747 P 10/09-03 59 20 31 64 W 7 7 2 1 W33 696 W 8 5156 P 10/09-04 59 20 31 62 W 7 1 702 W 9 5360 P 10/09-05 59 20 30 60 W 7 1 707 W 9 5563 P 10/09-06 52 10 30 59 W 7 7 2 1 NW44 712 W 9 5766 P 10/09-07 52 10 31 56 W 7 1 2107 W 14 34602 P 10/09-08 52 10 35 48 W 8 1 3503 W 17 63438 G 10/09-09 52 10 40 40 W 8 13 2 1 NW45 4899 W 22 92273 G 10/09-10 52 10 45 34 W 8 1 5800 W 22 111446 V 10/09-11 52 10 47 32 W 9 1 6701 W 22 130618 V 10/09-12 66 10 49 31 W 9 15 2 1 NW41 7602 NW 23 149791 V 10/09-13 66 10 50 30 W 10 1 7921 W 23 159256 E 10/09-14 66 10 50 29 NW 10 1 8240 W 23 168721 E 10/09-15 66 10 51 28 NW 12 18 2 1 NW39 8560 W 24 178186 E 10/09-16 66 10 50 29 NW 12 1 8624 W 24 179945 E 10/09-17 66 10 49 31 NW 13 1 8688 W 24 181705 E 10/09-18 41 10 48 33 NW 12 18 3 1 NW37 8752 W 24 183465 E 10/09-19 41 10 46 37 W 10 1 8049 W 23 160566 E 10/09-20 41 10 43 40 W 8 1 7346 NW 22 137667 V 10/09-21 41 10 42 42 W 6 6 2 1 NW22 6643 NW 20 114768 V 10/09-22 41 10 39 48 W 6 1 4428 W 17 67131 G 10/09-23 41 10 38 50 W 6 1 3766 W 15 51337 F 10/10-00 58 10 38 53 W 6 6 2 1 NW18 3104 W 13 35543 P 10/10-01 58 10 38 55 W 6 1 3161 W 13 34110 P 10/10-02 58 10 37 58 SW 5 1 3218 W 12 32677 P 10/10-03 58 10 37 60 SW 5 5 2 1 NW25 3275 W 12 31245 P 10/10-04 58 10 37 59 SW 3 1 3277 W 12 32255 P 10/10-05 58 10 37 59 W 3 1 3280 W 12 33266 P 10/10-06 45 16 37 59 W 3 3 2 1 N29 3283 W 12 34276 P 10/10-07 45 16 37 61 W 5 1 3733 NW 13 42573 F 10/10-08 45 16 38 64 W 6 1 4182 NW 14 50870 F 10/10-09 45 16 39 64 W 7 7 2 1 N28 4632 NW 15 59167 F 10/10-10 45 16 41 59 W 8 1 5507 NW 14 64189 G 10/10-11 45 16 44 51 NW 9 1 6382 NW 13 69210 G 10/10-12 68 16 47 45 NW 10 16 2 1 N22 7256 NW 12 74232 G 10/10-13 68 16 48 43 NW 10 1 7625 NW 13 83662 G 10/10-14 68 16 49 42 NW 9 1 7993 NW 14 93093 G 10/10-15 68 16 49 41 NW 8 13 2 1 N25 8362 NW 14 102523 V 10/10-16 68 16 49 41 NW 7 1 7992 NW 14 99594 G 10/10-17 68 16 48 42 NW 7 1 7622 NW 15 96665 G 10/10-18 54 7 47 43 NW 6 6 2 1 N30 7251 NW 15 93736 G 10/10-19 54 7 45 45 NW 6 1 6580 NW 14 80758 G 10/10-20 54 7 43 48 NW 5 1 5908 NW 13 67781 G 10/10-21 54 7 42 51 NW 5 5 2 1 N33 5236 NW 12 54804 F 10/10-22 54 7 41 52 NW 3 1 4423 NW 10 41213 F 10/10-23 54 7 40 52 W 2 1 3610 NW 8 27623 P 10/11-00 35 0 39 53 SW 2 2 2 1 N31 2797 NW 6 14032 P 10/11-01 35 0 39 53 SW 2 1 2716 NW 6 14374 P 10/11-02 35 0 39 53 SW 3 1 2634 W 7 14715 P 10/11-03 35 0 38 54 S 3 3 2 1 N28 2553 W 7 15056 P 10/11-04 35 0 38 53 S 3 1 2482 W 7 14205 P 10/11-05 35 0 38 53 S 2 1 2412 W 7 13354 P 10/11-06 35 0 38 52 S 2 2 2 1 N28 2342 W 6 12503 P 10/11-07 35 0 38 51 SW 2 1 2680 W 7 16211 P 10/11-08 35 0 39 50 W 2 1 3019 NW 7 19920 P 10/11-09 35 0 40 49 W 3 3 2 1 N30 3357 NW 8 23629 P 10/11-10 35 0 43 46 W 5 1 4294 NW 8 32236 P 10/11-11 35 0 47 42 NW 7 1 5231 N 9 40843 F 10/11-12 46 10 50 38 NW 8 13 2 1 N32 6168 N 9 49449 F 10/11-13 46 10 53 34 NW 8 1 6665 N 9 54901 F 10/11-14 46 10 54 30 NW 8 1 7162 N 9 60353 G 10/11-15 46 10 55 28 NW 7 7 2 1 N30 7660 N 10 65805 G 10/11-16 46 10 54 29 NW 7 1 7378 N 10 65242 G 10/11-17 46 10 53 32 NW 6 1 7096 NW 10 64680 G 10/11-18 44 10 51 35 W 6 6 2 1 N26 6814 NW 10 64117 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL DAWDY REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101008.CHURC.01/BOU