FNUS75 KBOU 091019 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 420 AM MDT SAT OCT 9 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST NEBRASKA WITH MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. IT WILL BE WINDY...WITH ISOLATED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE HIGHER WEST FACING ASPECTS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 18-28 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8600-9600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-39. MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 14-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2400-3400 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. GOOD AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-51. MIN HUMIDITY........44-49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 11-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/09-04 15 15 31 68 W 16 1 779 W 29 19244 P 10/09-05 15 15 31 68 W 15 1 677 W 28 16503 P 10/09-06 55 10 30 84 W 25 40 3 1 NW33 828 W 37 26542 P 10/09-07 55 10 32 81 W 25 1 1658 W 37 54515 F 10/09-08 55 10 36 69 W 24 1 2487 W 38 82488 G 10/09-09 55 10 41 55 W 22 35 3 1 NW31 3317 W 38 110461 V 10/09-10 55 10 46 46 W 20 1 4807 W 35 134225 V 10/09-11 55 10 48 42 W 17 1 6297 W 31 157988 E 10/09-12 66 10 50 39 W 16 25 3 1 NW29 7787 W 26 181752 E 10/09-13 66 10 51 37 W 16 1 8604 W 26 195301 E 10/09-14 66 10 52 36 W 16 1 9422 NW 25 208851 E 10/09-15 66 10 53 35 W 16 25 3 1 NW25 10239 NW 25 222400 E 10/09-16 66 10 52 35 W 16 1 9366 NW 25 207538 E 10/09-17 66 10 51 36 W 16 1 8493 NW 26 192677 E 10/09-18 55 10 50 38 W 16 25 3 1 N15 7620 NW 26 177816 E 10/09-19 55 10 48 44 W 17 1 6359 NW 28 152054 E 10/09-20 55 10 46 50 W 18 1 5097 NW 29 126293 V 10/09-21 55 10 45 54 W 20 31 3 1 N18 3836 NW 30 100532 V 10/09-22 55 10 42 62 W 21 1 3319 NW 30 85843 G 10/09-23 55 10 42 65 W 21 1 2803 NW 29 71154 G 10/10-00 55 10 41 67 NW 21 33 2 1 N26 2286 NW 29 56464 F 10/10-01 55 10 41 67 NW 20 1 2523 NW 28 60836 G 10/10-02 55 10 41 66 NW 17 1 2760 NW 28 65207 G 10/10-03 55 10 41 63 NW 16 25 2 1 N29 2997 NW 26 69578 G 10/10-04 55 10 41 60 NW 17 1 2831 NW 28 68834 G 10/10-05 55 10 41 56 NW 18 1 2665 NW 30 68090 G 10/10-06 71 26 39 62 NW 20 31 3 1 N31 2048 NW 32 56336 F 10/10-07 71 26 40 62 NW 20 1 2425 NW 30 62076 G 10/10-08 71 26 43 58 NW 20 1 2801 NW 29 67816 G 10/10-09 71 26 47 51 NW 18 30 2 1 N28 3177 NW 26 73556 G 10/10-10 71 26 49 47 NW 17 1 4013 NW 28 95378 G 10/10-11 71 26 50 45 NW 15 1 4848 N 28 117201 V 10/10-12 64 26 51 44 NW 14 22 2 1 N32 5684 N 28 139023 V 10/10-13 64 26 51 45 NW 13 1 5586 N 28 131839 V 10/10-14 64 26 51 47 NW 13 1 5489 N 26 124654 V 10/10-15 64 26 50 50 NW 13 13 2 1 N31 5391 N 25 117470 V 10/10-16 64 26 48 53 NW 12 1 4729 N 23 97873 G 10/10-17 64 26 46 53 NW 12 1 4067 N 22 78276 G 10/10-18 58 7 44 56 NW 10 10 2 1 N33 3405 N 20 58679 F 10/10-19 58 7 43 55 NW 10 1 2926 N 20 49139 F 10/10-20 58 7 41 55 NW 9 1 2446 N 18 39599 P 10/10-21 58 7 41 54 NW 9 9 2 1 N35 1967 N 17 30059 P 10/10-22 58 7 40 54 NW 9 1 1823 N 16 26035 P 10/10-23 58 7 40 53 NW 8 1 1678 N 15 22011 P 10/11-00 33 5 40 53 NW 8 8 2 1 N33 1534 N 14 17987 P 10/11-01 33 5 41 50 NW 8 1 1686 NW 13 18994 P 10/11-02 33 5 43 49 NW 8 1 1838 NW 13 20000 P 10/11-03 33 5 41 53 W 8 8 2 1 N31 1990 NW 13 21007 P 10/11-04 33 5 42 50 NW 8 1 1903 NW 13 20029 P 10/11-05 33 5 42 50 NW 8 1 1816 N 12 19051 P 10/11-06 33 0 41 51 NW 8 8 2 1 N31 1729 N 12 18073 P 10/11-07 33 0 43 49 NW 8 1 2386 N 13 26392 P 10/11-08 33 0 47 42 NW 8 1 3043 N 13 34710 P 10/11-09 33 0 52 34 NW 8 8 2 1 N30 3700 N 14 43029 F 10/11-10 33 0 55 32 NW 8 1 4988 N 14 60237 G 10/11-11 33 0 57 30 N 8 1 6276 N 14 77446 G 10/11-12 25 5 59 29 N 8 8 2 1 N25 7564 N 15 94655 G 10/11-13 25 5 59 27 N 8 1 7430 N 14 87549 G 10/11-14 25 5 59 26 N 8 1 7296 N 13 80444 G 10/11-15 25 5 57 26 N 8 8 2 1 N24 7161 N 12 73338 G 10/11-16 25 5 54 30 N 8 1 5672 N 10 55202 F 10/11-17 25 5 51 34 NE 8 1 4182 N 9 37065 P 10/11-18 40 5 47 42 NE 7 7 2 1 N28 2692 N 8 18928 P 10/11-19 40 5 45 45 NE 6 1 2008 N 7 13390 P 10/11-20 40 5 43 48 N 5 1 1325 NE 6 7852 P 10/11-21 40 5 43 49 N 3 3 2 1 N25 641 NE 5 2314 P 10/11-22 40 5 41 50 N 3 1 592 NE 3 1882 P 10/11-23 40 5 41 50 NW 3 1 543 N 3 1450 P 10/12-00 56 9 41 49 NW 3 3 2 1 N18 495 NW 2 1018 P 10/12-01 56 9 42 48 NW 3 1 528 NW 3 1363 P 10/12-02 56 9 42 48 NW 5 1 562 N 3 1708 P 10/12-03 56 9 42 49 NW 5 5 2 1 N15 595 N 3 2053 P 10/12-04 56 9 42 47 NW 5 1 629 N 3 2049 P 10/12-05 56 9 42 47 N 5 1 663 NE 3 2046 P 10/12-06 73 22 42 46 N 5 5 2 1 NW16 696 NE 3 2042 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ALEX VIKTORA REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101008.COWCR.01/BOU