FNUS75 KGJT 080342
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PACK CREEK PILES...MANTI-LA SAL NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
942 PM MDT THU OCT 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LOW CIRCULATION THAT HAS BROUGHT THE
UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE REGION WILL MOVE INTO WYOMING ON FRIDAY.
THE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THAT LOW WILL SWING ACROSS THE
UTAH/COLORADO BORDER EARLY FRIDAY WITH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
FOLLOWING. THE AIR MASS OVER THE BURN SITE WILL BECOME MORE STABLE
THROUGH SATURDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR WEST
FOR WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT.

.FRIDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 0-5 MPH...INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH AFTER
                    NOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 950 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.


.FRIDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THAN 100.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 600 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.


$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MAX FORGENSI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101008.PACKC.01/GJT