FNUS76 KLOX 060028
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MANKINS ALLAN...CAL FIRE/SLU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
528 PM PDT TUE OCT 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A CUT-OFF LOW SITUATED OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE PUSHING
NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEVADA. THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF SHOWERS
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CONFIDENCE WITH THE TIMING OF SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DIFFICULT DUE TO THE
NATURE OF CUTOFF LOWS AND SOME UNPREDICTABILITY THEY BRING. A
GRADUAL WARMUP IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN. A
MORE SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR THIS WEEKEND WITH SOME
OFFSHORE WINDS EXPECTED.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........53-56 AT IGNITION...MAX 63-66.
RH..................95-100 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS LIGHT 2 TO 4 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING EAST
                    3 TO 5 MPH AT 1100 HOUR...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE AFTER 1400 HOUR. IF THUNDERSTORMS
                    DEVELOP...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO NEAR
                    4000 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48-52.
RH..................MAX 90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. IF THUNDERSTORMS
                    DEVELOP...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING VARIABLE
                    2 TO 4 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT IN THE EVENING...LOWERING TO 1000 FT OR LESS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH OVERNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...BILL FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101008.MANKI.01/LOX