FNUS73 KUNR 081455
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR RIFLEPIT RX 1423...GREAT PLAINS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
855 AM MDT FRI OCT 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 MDT ON OCTOBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING INTO THE PLAINS WILL
BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION THROUGH
AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
WETTING RAINS APPEARS TO BE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

BASED ON CURRENT RADAR/SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS...THERE COULD BE A
BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION THROUGH MID AFTERNOON BEFORE MORE
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH LATER THIS AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH TURNING WEST THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH TURNING WEST THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 TO 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...JJ
REQUESTED BY...USFS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101008.RIFLE.01/UNR