FNUS75 KBOU 092306 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WADSWORTH RIDGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 510 PM MDT SAT OCT 9 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHWESTERN KANSAS BY SUNDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE BURN AREA LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43. MAX HUMIDITY........65-75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH THROUGH 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-63. MIN HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 6200-7200 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........60-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5-13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0200...THEN 1000-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .COLUMBUS DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68. MIN HUMIDITY........25-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7600-8600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WADSWORTH RIDGE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/09-16 65 5 64 23 N 8 1 11797 W 14 138781 V 10/09-17 65 5 63 24 NW 10 1 11105 NW 15 138815 V 10/09-18 39 5 61 26 NW 13 21 3 1 W14 10413 NW 15 138849 V 10/09-19 39 5 57 31 NW 13 1 7589 NW 18 105832 V 10/09-20 39 5 53 36 W 13 1 4766 NW 21 72816 G 10/09-21 39 5 51 40 W 12 18 3 1 NW15 1942 NW 23 39799 P 10/09-22 39 5 50 44 W 10 1 1490 NW 22 29377 P 10/09-23 39 5 48 47 W 9 1 1038 NW 20 18955 P 10/10-00 53 10 47 51 W 8 13 2 1 NW21 586 NW 17 8534 P 10/10-01 53 10 46 53 W 7 1 555 NW 15 7355 P 10/10-02 53 10 45 55 SW 6 1 523 NW 14 6176 P 10/10-03 53 10 44 56 SW 5 5 2 1 N28 491 NW 12 4997 P 10/10-04 66 10 43 57 SW 5 1 415 NW 12 4084 P 10/10-05 66 10 43 58 W 6 1 340 NW 10 3171 P 10/10-06 66 10 42 59 W 7 7 2 1 N44 264 NW 10 2258 P 10/10-07 66 10 44 56 W 6 1 1708 NW 14 30110 P 10/10-08 66 10 46 53 NW 5 1 3153 NW 17 57963 F 10/10-09 66 10 50 46 NW 5 5 2 1 N41 4597 N 22 85815 G 10/10-10 66 10 53 43 NW 7 1 5410 N 24 116223 V 10/10-11 66 10 55 44 NW 10 1 6223 N 26 146632 V 10/10-12 73 10 57 44 NW 14 22 2 1 N40 7036 N 29 177040 E 10/10-13 73 10 57 46 NW 15 1 7114 N 28 168784 E 10/10-14 73 10 58 48 N 16 1 7192 N 25 160529 E 10/10-15 73 10 58 48 N 15 24 2 1 N39 7270 N 24 152273 E 10/10-16 73 10 58 47 N 14 1 6838 N 23 138599 V 10/10-17 73 10 57 47 N 12 1 6406 N 22 124926 V 10/10-18 58 5 56 47 N 9 15 2 1 N37 5974 N 22 111252 V 10/10-19 58 5 53 52 N 8 1 4824 N 18 84362 G 10/10-20 58 5 50 57 NW 6 1 3674 N 16 57473 F 10/10-21 58 5 49 61 NW 5 5 2 1 N38 2523 N 14 30584 P 10/10-22 58 5 46 67 W 3 1 1036 N 9 8244 P 10/10-23 58 5 45 66 W 2 1 836 N 7 5800 P 10/11-00 27 0 45 65 W 2 2 2 1 N35 636 N 6 3357 P 10/11-01 27 0 44 66 W 3 1 795 N 6 4301 P 10/11-02 27 0 44 67 W 5 1 954 N 6 5244 P 10/11-03 27 0 44 67 W 6 6 2 1 N32 1114 NW 7 6188 P 10/11-04 27 0 44 65 W 6 1 1087 NW 7 6015 P 10/11-05 27 0 44 63 W 6 1 1060 NW 7 5843 P 10/11-06 27 3 44 61 W 5 5 2 1 N30 1033 NW 6 5670 P 10/11-07 27 3 45 59 W 3 1 1655 NW 8 12626 P 10/11-08 27 3 47 56 W 2 1 2277 NW 9 19583 P 10/11-09 27 3 49 52 W 2 2 2 1 N28 2899 N 10 26539 P 10/11-10 27 3 53 45 NW 3 1 4476 N 13 54013 F 10/11-11 27 3 57 38 N 6 1 6053 N 15 81486 G 10/11-12 25 2 60 33 NE 7 7 2 1 N23 7630 N 16 108959 V 10/11-13 25 2 63 31 NE 7 1 7993 N 15 104658 V 10/11-14 25 2 64 29 NE 7 1 8356 N 14 100358 V 10/11-15 25 2 65 29 NE 7 7 2 1 N21 8719 N 13 96057 G 10/11-16 25 2 65 29 NE 6 1 8095 N 12 84507 G 10/11-17 25 2 64 30 NE 6 1 7471 NW 12 72958 G 10/11-18 27 2 63 32 NE 5 5 2 1 N20 6847 NW 10 61408 G 10/11-19 27 2 57 39 N 5 1 4783 W 7 41219 F 10/11-20 27 2 54 45 W 5 1 2718 S 5 21030 P 10/11-21 27 2 51 49 SW 5 5 2 1 N20 654 CALM 842 P 10/11-22 27 2 49 49 SW 6 1 548 S 3 1172 P 10/11-23 27 2 48 47 SW 6 1 443 SW 5 1502 P 10/12-00 27 4 47 46 SW 7 7 2 1 N17 337 SW 6 1832 P 10/12-01 27 4 46 48 SW 7 1 307 SW 6 1594 P 10/12-02 27 4 46 51 SW 7 1 276 W 6 1355 P 10/12-03 27 4 46 54 SW 7 7 2 1 N20 246 W 6 1116 P 10/12-04 27 4 45 54 SW 7 1 232 W 6 1058 P 10/12-05 27 4 45 54 W 7 1 218 W 6 999 P 10/12-06 63 10 45 54 W 7 7 2 1 N20 204 W 6 940 P 10/12-07 63 10 46 54 W 7 1 253 NW 6 1407 P 10/12-08 63 10 47 53 NW 6 1 302 N 7 1874 P 10/12-09 63 10 49 51 NW 6 6 2 1 NW17 351 N 8 2341 P 10/12-10 63 10 51 49 N 6 1 1483 N 7 7640 P 10/12-11 63 10 54 47 NE 6 1 2615 N 6 12939 P 10/12-12 70 15 56 45 NE 6 6 2 1 NW17 3747 N 6 18239 P 10/12-13 70 15 57 44 NE 6 1 4096 N 6 18322 P 10/12-14 70 15 57 44 NE 5 1 4444 N 5 18406 P 10/12-15 70 15 57 44 NE 5 5 2 1 W22 4793 N 5 18490 P 10/12-16 70 15 57 45 E 3 1 4757 N 5 18412 P 10/12-17 70 15 56 46 E 3 1 4721 NW 5 18335 P 10/12-18 70 16 54 49 E 2 2 2 1 W17 4685 NW 5 18258 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH EVANS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101009.WADSW.02/BOU RJK