FNUS75 KGJT 110410
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR REDONDA 2 RX...SOUTHERN UTE BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1010 PM MDT SUN OCT 10 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE
DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ON MONDAY. THE TAIL END OF A DISTURBANCE
PASSING WELL TO THE NORTH WILL DRAG ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY
RESULTING IN A INCREASE IN CLOUDS. AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS TO WOLF CREEK PASS...BUT THE FIRE SITE
SHOULD REMAIN DRY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE TERRAIN-DRIVEN WITH
VALLEY INVERSIONS DEVELOPING BY LATE EVENING.

.TODAY (MONDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-7 MPH BY 1300. SOME
                    GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200 THE BECOMING GOOD BY 1500.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL
                    BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/SOUTHWEST 7 MPH AT 1200...SHIFTING TO
                    THE WEST 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT (MONDAY NIGHT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL OR LESS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-7 MPH. A FEW GUSTS
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL AT 1200...INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL
                    BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 MPH AT 1200 SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON  FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101011.REDON.01/GJT