FNUS74 KBMX 121225 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 725 AM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0721 CDT ON OCTOBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY THURSDAY BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGHER 20 FOOT WINDS ON THURSDAY ALONG WITH THE DRIER CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. WINDS LOOK TO NOW PERSIST INTO FRIDAY WELL. AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND...DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN. HOWEVER...20 FOOT WINDS SHOULD DECREASE ENOUGH TO NOT BE A PROBLEM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8300-9800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000-3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 45 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 55 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 32. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 65 72 78 81 81 RH..............88 74 58 48 39 41 20 FT WIND......NE 0 S 1 SW 3 SW 5 SW 5 W 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2200 6300 9800 8300 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 W 5 W 7 W 9 W 13 W 14 DISPERSION......3 2 31 49 58 52 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....19 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 69 66 64 60 56 RH..............50 66 69 71 75 84 20 FT WIND......N 1 NE 0 NE 0 NE 0 NE 0 NE 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 40 40 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1000 800 800 800 600 TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 8 W 6 W 8 NW 9 NW 8 DISPERSION......22 9 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-7800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 31. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............52 55 66 73 77 79 RH..............98 98 77 57 47 41 20 FT WIND......E 1 E 1 E 2 SW 3 W 3 W 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....100 1600 4900 7100 7800 7100 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 5 NW 3 NW 6 NW 6 W 6 NW 7 DISPERSION......2 2 3 27 21 24 $$ FORECASTER...AARON REQUESTED BY...JEREMY BRAND TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101012.ROCKF.01/BMX