FNUS75 KBOU 131000 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 359 AM MDT WED OCT 13 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH MAINLY DRY NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER TODAY WITH LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH POOR DISPERSAL THROUGH 1200...THEN FAIR. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55. MIN HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5800-6800 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32. MAX HUMIDITY........55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7400-8400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/13-03 10 0 31 94 SW 2 2 2 1 NW32 169 W 2 369 P 10/13-04 10 0 31 93 SW 3 1 162 W 3 479 P 10/13-05 10 0 30 93 W 6 1 156 W 5 590 P 10/13-06 10 0 30 93 W 6 6 2 1 NW37 149 W 6 701 P 10/13-07 10 0 30 92 W 5 1 570 W 6 2573 P 10/13-08 10 0 32 87 W 3 1 991 W 6 4445 P 10/13-09 5 0 38 70 W 2 2 2 1 N35 1412 W 5 6317 P 10/13-10 5 0 44 56 SW 2 1 3420 W 7 27953 P 10/13-11 5 0 49 48 S 3 1 5427 NW 9 49588 F 10/13-12 11 0 53 42 SE 3 3 2 1 N33 7435 NW 12 71224 G 10/13-13 11 0 55 38 SE 3 1 7273 NW 12 70670 G 10/13-14 11 0 55 37 SE 3 1 7110 W 12 70116 G 10/13-15 8 0 55 36 SE 3 3 2 1 N30 6948 W 12 69562 G 10/13-16 8 0 54 36 E 2 1 5343 W 12 52801 F 10/13-17 8 0 51 37 N 2 1 3737 W 10 36040 P 10/13-18 5 0 48 41 NW 2 2 2 1 N24 2132 W 10 19280 P 10/13-19 5 0 46 42 NW 3 1 1598 W 10 14499 P 10/13-20 5 0 45 44 W 6 1 1063 W 10 9718 P 10/13-21 5 0 42 48 W 8 13 3 1 NW22 529 W 10 4936 P 10/13-22 2 0 40 52 W 9 1 419 W 12 3971 P 10/13-23 2 0 38 54 W 9 1 308 W 12 3005 P 10/14-00 2 0 37 55 W 10 16 3 1 NW23 198 W 12 2040 P 10/14-01 2 0 36 55 W 12 1 182 W 13 1953 P 10/14-02 0 0 35 54 W 14 1 165 W 13 1866 P 10/14-03 0 0 35 52 W 14 22 4 1 NW23 149 W 14 1779 P 10/14-04 0 0 34 51 W 13 1 137 W 12 1456 P 10/14-05 0 0 33 51 W 10 1 125 W 10 1133 P 10/14-06 5 0 33 51 W 8 13 3 1 NW21 113 W 8 810 P 10/14-07 5 0 34 49 W 7 1 360 W 8 2094 P 10/14-08 5 0 40 40 W 6 1 607 W 7 3378 P 10/14-09 5 0 48 31 SW 6 6 3 1 NW16 854 W 6 4662 P 10/14-10 5 0 54 24 SW 5 1 2848 W 7 16637 P 10/14-11 5 0 58 22 SW 5 1 4841 NW 7 28612 P 10/14-12 9 0 60 20 SW 3 3 3 1 N 9 6835 NW 7 40588 F 10/14-13 9 0 61 19 W 3 1 7529 NW 7 42846 F 10/14-14 9 0 62 19 N 2 1 8224 W 7 45104 F 10/14-15 9 0 63 18 NE 2 2 2 1 NW 6 8918 W 6 47362 F 10/14-16 9 0 62 19 NE 2 1 7912 W 7 45531 F 10/14-17 9 0 60 21 E 2 1 6906 W 8 43699 F 10/14-18 2 0 58 23 E 2 2 3 1 W 8 5900 W 8 41868 F 10/14-19 2 0 53 29 SE 3 1 4053 W 8 28718 P 10/14-20 2 0 49 35 SW 5 1 2206 W 8 15569 P 10/14-21 2 0 47 38 W 6 6 5 1 W 7 359 W 8 2419 P 10/14-22 2 0 45 41 W 7 1 292 W 8 2002 P 10/14-23 2 0 43 42 W 8 1 226 W 8 1585 P 10/15-00 2 0 42 43 SW 8 13 5 1 W 9 159 W 8 1168 P 10/15-01 2 0 41 44 W 8 1 151 W 8 1105 P 10/15-02 2 0 39 44 W 7 1 144 W 8 1043 P 10/15-03 2 0 39 44 W 7 7 5 1 W14 137 W 8 981 P 10/15-04 2 0 38 44 W 7 1 132 W 9 1008 P 10/15-05 2 0 37 44 W 8 1 128 W 9 1035 P 10/15-06 4 0 37 45 W 8 13 5 1 W16 124 W 10 1062 P 10/15-07 4 0 38 43 W 8 1 557 W 13 7628 P 10/15-08 4 0 43 36 W 8 1 990 W 15 14193 P 10/15-09 4 0 50 28 SW 7 7 5 1 W16 1423 W 17 20759 P 10/15-10 4 0 57 22 SW 6 1 3968 W 16 52982 F 10/15-11 4 0 60 20 SW 6 1 6512 W 16 85206 G 10/15-12 6 0 62 18 SW 5 5 5 1 W14 9056 W 15 117429 V 10/15-13 6 0 63 17 SW 5 1 9853 W 15 123626 V 10/15-14 6 0 64 17 SW 5 1 10650 W 14 129823 V 10/15-15 6 0 65 17 SW 5 5 4 1 W12 11448 W 14 136020 V 10/15-16 6 0 64 18 SW 5 1 9767 W 14 117149 V 10/15-17 6 0 62 19 SW 5 1 8087 W 14 98277 G 10/15-18 12 0 60 22 SW 5 5 5 1 W 9 6407 W 14 79406 G 10/15-19 12 0 55 27 SW 5 1 4541 W 14 55965 F 10/15-20 12 0 51 33 SW 6 1 2676 W 14 32525 P 10/15-21 12 0 49 36 SW 7 7 5 1 W10 811 W 13 9084 P 10/15-22 12 0 47 40 W 8 1 619 W 13 6832 P 10/15-23 12 0 45 42 W 9 1 427 W 12 4580 P 10/16-00 3 0 44 45 W 10 16 5 1 SW15 235 W 12 2328 P 10/16-01 3 0 43 46 W 10 1 214 W 12 2063 P 10/16-02 3 0 42 47 W 10 1 192 W 10 1798 P 10/16-03 3 0 41 48 W 10 16 4 1 SW17 171 W 10 1533 P 10/16-04 3 0 40 48 W 10 1 161 W 10 1420 P 10/16-05 3 0 39 48 W 10 1 152 W 10 1308 P 10/16-06 6 0 39 48 W 10 16 4 1 W18 142 W 9 1195 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101012.COWCR.01/BOU