FNUS73 KMPX 131047 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR ST OLAF EASEMENT...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 547 AM CDT WED OCT 13 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SLIDING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY... SETTING THE BURN SITE UP INTO A PERSISTENT NW FLOW REGIME. EXPECT WINDS OUT OF 300 DEGREES TO PICK UP BY LATE MORNING INTO THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE...WITH A FEW GUSTS UP AROUND 20 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT TENDENCY FOR THE WINDS TO TURN MORE WESTERLY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL BE MAINLY SUNNY...WITH TEMPERATURES A BIT COOLER THAN HAS BEEN SEEN THE LAST WEEK...WITH HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON TOPPING OUT AROUND 64. DRY AIR OVER THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF YESTERDAYS FRONT WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES TO FALL INTO THE 30S...DESPITE THE COOLER TEMPERATURES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2100-33600) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (77800) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (132500-152300) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (91900) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (40700). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8200-9100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 50 54 57 60 62 63 63 62 59 56 53 RH..............63 54 46 40 36 34 33 32 34 39 44 46 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W NW NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 10 11 12 12 12 11 10 8 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41. RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100-2800). MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68. RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW TO OR HIGH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2000-26400) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (56500-93600) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (78700-127600) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (33200) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 3800-5600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 20 TO 29 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...GRIESINGER REQUESTED BY...JAMI MARKLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101013.STOLA.01/MPX SKY (%) LEGEND CLR = CLEAR MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR PC = PARTLY CLOUDY MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY CDY = CLOUDY