FNUS75 KRIW 122321
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONUMENT RX...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
521 PM MDT TUE OCT 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE ROCKIES...WILL RESULT
IN STEEP MORNING INVERSIONS...WARM AFTERNOON OCTOBER
TEMPERATURES...LOW RH...AND LIGHT WINDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. MORNING INVERSIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT AROUND NOON EACH
DAY.

SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE POOR CATEGORY BOTH
DAYS...DUE TO WEAK WINDS AND RELATIVELY LOW MIXING HEIGHTS
EXPECTED.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH BY 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH BETWEEN NOON AND 1400. GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH. SOME AREAS WILL REMAIN UPSLOPE 3-6 MPH ALL
                    DAY.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (34000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    2-4 MPH BY 2000.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....LIGHT NORTHWEST.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT NORTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (18600 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH...BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH AROUND 1500.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5-10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (36000 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  GUSTS AROUND
25 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...RANDALL
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101013.MONUM.01/RIW