FNUS71 KRNK 122128
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR PILLOW...VDOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
528 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WITH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
WILL THEN PUSH EAST THROUGH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. RAIN AMOUNTS OF A TENTH OF AN INCH TO AS MUCH AS A HALF
INCH ARE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON COVERAGE OF SHOWERS THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS.

CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO THICKEN AND LOWER THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
RAIN CHANCES ARE SPOTTY OVER THE BURN AREA (PILLOW) WITH THE BEST
CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN COMING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

FRIDAY WILL BRING RENEWED DRYING ALONG WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS.
POST FRONTAL WIND GUSTS OF NEAR 30 MPH ARE LIKELY LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. AVAILABLE DRY FUELS HOWEVER...WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
WHETHER SIGNIFICANT WETTING OCCURS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 8
                    TO 16 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............59     62     62     62     63     64
WEATHER COV.........                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................58     56     62     66     70     71
RH..................74     80     68     60     54     52
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   NE 4   NE 4   E 3    E 2    SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     5      5      5
CWR.................10     10     10     10     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...STONEFIELD
REQUESTED BY...JIM JARVIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101013.PILLO.01/RNK