FNUS75 KBOI 141716
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR PADDY FLAT...PAYETTE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1116 AM MDT THU OCT 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WEAK COLD FRONT EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE ALOFT THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE REGION THE LAST FEW DAYS HAS
SHIFTED EAST AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY.
THIS WILL HELP BRING IN BETTER SMOKE DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON. THE
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH THE BURN AREA BY MID MORNING
AND STALL ACROSS SOUTHERN IDAHO. THE NEXT TROUGH OFF THE PACIFIC WILL
HELP PUSH THIS FRONT BACK TO THE NORTH ON SATURDAY. LIMITED PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED WITH THESE FRONTAL PASSAGES.



.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 TO 15 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....LIGHT UP SLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH THIS MORNING BECOMING SOUTH
                    TO SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS AFTER SUNSET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40 TO 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 TO 50 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH THIS EVENING SHIFTING WEST
                    AROUND SUNRISE.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...CLEARING BY THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....WEST TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...750 EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...REDMAN
REQUESTED BY...SARAH HUMBACH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101014.PADDY.01/BOI