FNUS74 KLCH 141014
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PNH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
514 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WHILE RAINFALL THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WAS QUITE WELCOME...IT WAS
INSUFFICIENT TO PUT MUCH OF A DENT INTO THE ONGOING MOISTURE
DEFICITS ACROSS THE AREA. MUCH DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO SPILL INTO
THE REGION TODAY BEHIND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT HAS MOVED THROUGH
THE AREA OVERNIGHT. MINIMUM RH VALUES TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM
30 TO 40 PERCENT TODAY....AND 20 TO 30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WIND
SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA...BUT WILL BE 10-15 MPH
AND GUSTY THE FIRST HALF OF TODAY...BEFORE SETTLING DOWN THIS
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4500-6400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 16 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CDT)        6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........    22  22  20  16  15  14  13  13  12  11  11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............    61  63  67  72  75  78  80  81  82  82  82
RH..............    80  80  76  65  56  49  45  42  41  38  39
EYE LVL WND DIR.    N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
EYE LVL WND SPD.    6   6   7   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.    15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...    0.3 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.4 6.0
MIX HGT (KM)....    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.    N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.    23  23  22  21  20  18  17  16  16  17  17
TRANS SPD (M/S).    10  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   8   8
HAINES INDEX....    4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4000-5400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SWEENEY
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101014.PNH__.01/LCH