FNUS76 KMFR 131910
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WARNER MEADOW...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1210 PM PDT WED OCT 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ALIGN WITH THE VALLEY TO THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE BURN AREA ON THURSDAY RESULTING IN A BREEZY DAY AT
THE BURN SITE. BASED ON TERRAIN MAPS THE EXPECTED WIND DIRECTION AND
WEATHER REGIME FOR THURSDAY INDICATE GUSTY CONDITIONS AT THE BURN SITE
DURING THE AFTERNOON...AS WELL. THIS WILL ALL OCCUR AS A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE AREA PUSHES A COLD FRONT ONTO THE COAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LOW. SIMILARLY BREEZY
AND GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...BUT WITH TEMPERATURES
ABOUT 10 DEGREES LOWER AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 5-10% HIGHER.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 4-8 MPH EARLY...THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 7-14
                    MPH AROUND IGNITION TIME...INCREASING TO
                    SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS 20-30 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1000 FT AGL THROUGH IGNITION
                    TIME...INCREASING 10000 FT AGL THROUGH LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5-10 MPH EARLY...THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    10-20 MPH AROUND IGNITION TIME...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    25-35 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...JAMES R SULLIVAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101014.WARNE.03/MFR