FNUS73 KUNR 141935
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR NEEDLES CLEARCUT RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
135 PM MDT THU OCT 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 MDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL
FALL TO AROUND 13 PERCENT AT THE BURN AREA TODAY AND AROUND 11 PERCENT
ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON...SHIFTING WINDS
TO THE NORTHWEST. THE WEEKEND WEATHER WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S OVER THE BURN AREA. THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........71.
RH..................MIN 13
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 TO 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT DOWNSLOPE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...HAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101014.NEEDL.03/UNR