FNUS75 KBOI 152336
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAVOY RX...BURNS BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
536 PM MDT FRI OCT 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 PDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...BECOMING CLOUDY BY MIDNIGHT AS FRONT LIFTS BACK NORTH...
...MORE WIND AND MILDER LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT STALLED OVER SOUTHERN BURNS BLM WITH WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 PM PDT...A BIT FURTHER NORTH THAN
EXPECTED. SO UPSLOPE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LIGHT
DOWNSLOPE THIS EVENING. THE FRONT AND CLOUDY SKIES WILL MOVE OVER
THE LAVOY RX TONIGHT. WARMER AND MILDER CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY SW
WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON. LITTLE IF ANY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND NONE IS EXPECTED SATURDAY. THE NEXT UPPER
TROUGH MOVES INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN DROPS
INTO SOUTHERN NEVADA BY MONDAY. MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN
SHOWING THAT ANY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF
THE OREGON BORDER WITH THIS SYSTEM.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN CLOUDY
                    BY MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION LESS THAN
                    20 PERCENT. CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 TO 70 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 6 PM PDT THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64 TO 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 TO 25 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH AFTER 3 PM PDT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...550 GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...MILLS
REQUESTED BY...RYAN HUSSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101015.LAVOY.01/BOI