FNUS73 KMPX 151041
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SBR BLACK-LINING...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
541 AM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE WORKING ACROSS THE BURN AREA...RESULTING IN
LIGHT WINDS THAT WILL BE TRANSITION FROM THE NNE THIS MORNING...TO
THE EAST AROUND IGNITION TIME...AND OVER TO THE SOUTH BY THE
AFTERNOON. SPEEDS WILL BE 10 MPH OR LESS. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
THE HIGH WILL ALLOW HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON TO FALL INTO THE 30S
AS TEMPERATURES REACH INTO THE LOW 60S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (400-34500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3500-4700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     44     53     59     61     58
RH..............82     68     50     40     38     42
20 FT WIND......N 2    E 4    SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400-12100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 11 TO 16 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-35800) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (57500-81900) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (108500-150800) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (51500-98900)
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4500-6300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    13 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 25 TO 32 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...RUSS LANGFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101015.SBRBL.01/MPX