FNUS73 KMQT 141111 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR MOUTH OF THE CARP RX...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 711 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON OCTOBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO TODAY AND ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. AS THIS TROUGH MOVES OVER THE BURN AREA...EXPECT LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO BEGIN THIS EVENING AND END AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNT EXPECTED FROM THESE SHOWERS IS A TENTH OF AN INCH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 59. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (484). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4800 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........21 36 51 79 85 92 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............36 43 51 56 58 55 RH..............100 82 65 59 52 56 GENERAL WIND....SW 3 SW 3 SW 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 GENERAL GUST....5 5 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.20 153 340 484 383 201 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1900 3800 4800 3800 2000 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 36. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 23 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........98 91 80 72 62 49 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 44 41 40 38 37 RH..............71 85 99 100 100 100 GENERAL WIND....W 6 W 6 N 6 N 7 N 7 N 7 GENERAL GUST....10 10 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.37 0 3 18 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....400 BLW100 BLW100 300 BLW100 BLW100 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 25 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (552) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (663) BY LATE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800-4700 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........37 33 29 25 23 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 43 51 55 57 54 RH..............100 92 69 59 55 60 GENERAL WIND....N 7 N 7 N 10 N 10 N 10 N 10 GENERAL GUST....15 15 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.43 316 552 663 540 365 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1900 3700 4700 4200 2600 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PEARSON REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101015.MOUTH.01/MQT