FNUS75 KRIW 152052
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE  FALL CREEK...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
252 PM MDT FRI OCT 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1413 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MILD AND BREEZY WEATHER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.
SOME SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES COULD OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
THE COMBINATION OF A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SPREADING
SOME MOISTURE NORTHEAST TOWARD WYOMING AND A COUPLE OF NORTHERN STREAM
WEATHER DISTURBANCES TRACKING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
EARLY IN THE WEEK WILL PRODUCE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BECAUSE OF THE SPLIT NATURE OF THIS WEATHER
PATTERN OVER WYOMING NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION
IS ANTICIPATED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER BY MONDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A FEW VERY LIGHT SHOWERS
                    OR SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE BY 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BLOW AT 15 TO 17 MPH
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (127100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-64 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER 0300 FROM THE
                    WEST.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-2000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (93300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (34100
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-32 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST AT
                    11 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 BY 1200 WITH GUSTS TO
                    30 MPH BY 1600.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (73000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (142900 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND
16 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...STULL
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101015.LITTL.01/RIW