FNUS75 KRIW 151508
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONUMENT RX...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
908 AM MDT FRI OCT 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AFTER A COLD MORNING THIS MORNING...TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER
TO UNSEASONABLY WARM LEVELS ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH VERY DRY
HUMIDITY. WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY BUT THE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL NOT BE AS LOW. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE
AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BUT CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN ON THE
LOW SIDE. A WIDESPREAD WETTING EVENT IS HIGHLY DOUBTFUL...AND THE OUTLOOK
TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY LOOKS DRY WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-13 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST. THEN WINDS
                    FLUCTUATING BETWEEN SOUTHWEST AND NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH
                    BY 1200 WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (27100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (82900
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23 TO 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-96 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1500 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 TO
                    13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (66700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (11000
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 TO 19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST.
                    BY 1500 WINDS FLUCTUATING BETWEEN SOUTHWEST AND NORTHWEST
                    AT 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
                    18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (30500-75700 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...HUTTA
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101015.MONUM.01/RIW