FNUS76 KSTO 150232
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST HORSE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
732 PM PDT THU OCT 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

#290-10

.DISCUSSION...BURN AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS SLOWLY EASTWARD.
THIS WILL BRING A GRADUAL COOLING TREND WITH SOME INCREASE IN RH. GENERAL
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THE PATTERN OF MAINLY EASTERLY AT NIGHT TRANSITIONING
TO MAINLY WESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY
AS UPPER RIDGE MOVES EASTWARD AHEAD OF APPROACHING OFFSHORE TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE BUT LOWER ELEVATION SLOPE WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN LOCALLY
DOMINATED. THE WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL ALLOW
SCATTERED CLOUDS TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM TIME TO TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....DOWNSLOPE DOWNCANYON 1 TO 4 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE TO
                    UPCANYON 2-5 MPH AFTER ABOUT 1000 WITH GUSTS TO 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 1-4 MPH IN THE MORNING GUSTS TO 6 MPH
                    TURNING SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST AFTER ABOUT 1000
                    2-5 MPH WITH GUST TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000-9000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING AND IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....BECOMING DOWNSLOPE TO DOWNCANYON WINDS 1 TO 4 MPH
                    AFTER SUNSET.
   RIDGETOP.........TURNING SOUTHEAST 2-4 GUSTS TO 6 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DROPPING TO BELOW 500 FEET AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHERLY 5-10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....BECOMING UPSLOPE UPCANYON 2-5 MPH AFTER ABOUT 1000
                    WITH WESTERLY GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH AFTER ABOUT
                    1000 WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000-10000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING AND IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10-12 MPH.


FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...ROBYN WOODS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101015.LOSTH.01/STO

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