FNUS75 KGJT 161857
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAY MESA II...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1257 PM MDT SAT OCT 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 MDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY EAST TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS
ALOFT WILL INCREASE GRADUALLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE. SUNNY SKIES TODAY AND SUNDAY WILL LEAD
TO SIGNIFICANT SURFACE HEATING ALLOWING FOR IMPROVING VERTICAL MIXING
AND INCREASING SURFACE WINDS EACH AFTERNOON. SURFACE INVERSIONS WILL
REESTABLISH RAPIDLY AFTER SUNSET FROM RADIATIONAL COOLER UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......550.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......200 DECREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AT 5-10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 17 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING 500 BY 1100, THEN 1050 BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...RANDY CHAPPELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101016.RAYME.02/GJT