FNUS73 KMQT 151347 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR BURMA GRADE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 947 AM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON OCTOBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT RH RECOVERY TO NEAR 100 PERCENT TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. ALTHOUGH THE AIRMASS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THAT WILL BE IMPACTING THE BURN AREA ON SATURDAY IS A RELATIVELY DRY ONE...A SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL RESULT IN HIGHER MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT THE BURN SITE THAN AT AREAS AWAY FROM THE MODERATING INFLUENCE OF THE LAKE. PLAN ON LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON SUNDAY WITH A WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE ONLY PROBLEM ON SUNDAY WILL BE NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25 TO 30 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 33. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 98 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH OR LESS BY LATE EVENING...THEN BECOMING CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (1). MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........6 9 12 15 25 38 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 41 38 36 35 33 RH..............82 85 86 87 91 96 GENERAL WIND....N 6 N 6 N 4 N 3 N 3 W 3 GENERAL GUST....10 10 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.59 9 6 10 4 1 MIX HGT (FT)....500 100 100 300 BLW100 BLW100 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 11 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 11 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 23 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (406) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (796) BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (200) EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1400-3200 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........48 47 45 44 48 54 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............33 41 51 56 58 55 RH..............89 79 66 64 59 68 GENERAL WIND....SW 5 SW 5 SW 9 SW 13 SW 13 W 11 GENERAL GUST....10 10 20 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100.38 249 551 796 660 344 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 300 2100 3200 2500 1400 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...KC REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101016.BURMA.01/MQT