FNUS75 KRIW 161337
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONUMENT RX...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
737 AM MDT SAT OCT 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 MDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IN THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BRING INCREASED PACIFIC MOISTURE WITH WEAK
INSTABILITY INTO THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS AROUND THE BURN AREA.
THIS WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY AND SPRINKLES.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...C.BAKER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THIS MORNING
                    THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    13 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-7400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (34600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (104400 KNOT-FT) BY NOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING
                    THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) BY MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-93 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-2200 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (92900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (23100
                    KNOT-FT) BY 10 PM MDT.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    12 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (48000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (102400 KNOT-FT) BY NOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...C.BAKER
REQUESTED BY...MARK RANDALL
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101016.MONUM.01/RIW