FNUS74 KMAF 171437 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR CHISOS SURROGATE RX...BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 937 AM CDT SUN OCT 17 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON OCTOBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. .DISCUSSION... SKIES HAVE CLEARED AND A MORE DEFINITIVE WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY AND MONDAY. STILL THERE IS A MINOR UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE TO WEST AND WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY THERE WILL BE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...GUSTY WINDS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN. TERRAIN DRIVEN UPSLOPE WINDS WILL HAVE SUFFICIENT SUNSHINE TO DEVELOP BUT STILL ON THE LIGHT SIDE. RH RECOVERY WILL TREND UP ABOUT 5 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RH/S FALLING A FEW PERCENT. EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCREASE TO IN COVERAGE LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE AFTER 2 PM MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78-81. MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (52000 KNOT-FT). TIME (MDT) 11 AM 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... 10 WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTMS TEMP............72 76 RH..............29 21 20 FT WIND DIR..N N 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (FT)....1000 6500 TRANS WIND DIR..S SW TRANS WIND SPD..2 8 HAINES INDEX....3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57-60. MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED/DOWNSLOPE UNDER 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT). TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 65 62 RH..............21 40 48 20 FT WIND DIR..VRB DS DS 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (FT)....6500 500 500 TRANS WIND DIR..SW E SE TRANS WIND SPD..5 3 2 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH CLOUDS INCREASING LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80-83. MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (85000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 71 77 RH..............60 27 20 20 FT WIND DIR..DS N N 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1000 8500 TRANS WIND DIR..S SW SW TRANS WIND SPD..2 3 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...MURDOCH REQUESTED BY...JIM KITCHEN FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101017.CHISO.02/MAF