FNUS76 KMFR 170426
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCINTOSH UNDERBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
926 PM PDT SAT OCT 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CONTINUED MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL AFFECT THE BURN SITE THROUGH
SUNDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AT THE
BURN SITE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LOW SPINS OVER CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA. THERE IS VERY WEAK FORCING FOR WINDS...SO EXPECT LIGHT
WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST SUNDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY
THE SAME SUNDAY IF NOT A TOUCH HIGHER THAN SATURDAY.  SUNNIER
CONDITIONS ON MONDAY WILL DROP AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES SIGNIFICANTLY
ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.  AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION THURSDAY
AND TEMPERATURES COOL OFF AS A RESULT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 2 TO 4 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 24 TO 28. HIGHS 70 TO 75. EAST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 30 TO 35. HIGHS 69 TO 74. SOUTH WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 33 TO 38. HIGHS 62 TO 68. SOUTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...STEVE CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101017.MCINT.01/MFR