FNUS74 KMAF 182236
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHISOS SURROGATE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
536 PM CDT MON OCT 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1715 MDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL REMAIN WEAK TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING AS A FLAT UPPER
RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE REGION.  HOWEVER...WINDS WILL PICK UP A
LITTLE FROM THE NORTH BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING...THEN BECOME
NORTHEAST OR EAST AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH WEST
TEXAS.  RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE POOR.  ALTHOUGH THE FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE BIG BEND TUESDAY...MINIMUM RH/S TUESDAY AFTERNOON
WILL DROP TO NEAR 20 PERCENT AGAIN AS DRY AIR REMAINS OVER THE
AREA.  CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN A LITTLE FROM
MONDAY/S HIGHS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD       ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       NONE
TEMP............74           65           59
RH..............22           26           30
20 FT WIND DIR..DS           DS           DS
20 FT WIND SPD..3            2            2
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....8500         1500         500
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           SW           SW
TRANS WIND SPD..6            1            1
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING EAST 4
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (39100 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............57           62           69
RH..............40           35           25
20 FT WIND DIR..DS           DS           NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2            4            5
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....500          1500         4700
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           NE           SE
TRANS WIND SPD..1            3            1
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

$$

FORECASTER...LYSTER
REQUESTED BY...TIM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101018.CHISO.02/MAF