FNUS73 KPAH 181330 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 51...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 830 AM CDT MON OCT 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THERE WILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA AGAIN TODAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WEST KENTUCKY AND NORTHWEST TENNESSEE. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS COULD REACH UP NEAR 10 MPH AT TIMES ACROSS THE LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES AREA...WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE REGION TONIGHT. TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO PROVIDE ANY REAL RELIEF FROM THE RATHER DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. THE DURATION OF RAIN CHANCES ON TUESDAY WILL BE DEPENDANT ON THE EVENTUAL STOPPING POINT FOR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS TENNESSEE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 82. RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3800-4900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1000-2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............72 75 78 79 80 80 78 74 RH..............37 32 28 27 26 26 28 32 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.5 4.9 4.5 3.8 2.9 1.9 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 15 15 14 14 13 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 61 58 55 52 51 RH..............40 53 59 66 74 71 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 W 2 NW 2 N 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 BLW100 BLW100 300 100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 13 W 14 W 15 NW 15 N 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 33 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............50 58 64 66 RH..............66 55 54 50 20 FT WIND......N 3G5 NE 5 N 5 N 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1700 2800 1700 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 NE 12 NE 9 N 13 CWR.............0 0 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101018.RANGE.01/PAH