FNUS73 KSGF 181232 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR JIM BALD...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 732 AM CDT MON OCT 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON OCTOBER 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHERLY TO WEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND OUT OF THE NORTH AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM NORTH TO EASTERLY AND BECOME LIGHT...TUESDAY MORNING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE AROUND 35 PERCENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND PRIOR TO RAINFALL. FOR THE JIM BALD BURN...DOWN SLOPE SOUTHERLY WINDS EARLY WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY...CROSS SLOPE FLOW IN THE AFTERNOON AND TO THE NORTHERLY...UP SLOPE FLOW EARLY EVENING AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........FROM SOUTH TO WEST AND BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 78 77 RH..............37 35 37 20 FT WIND......SW 5 W 5 W 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 5100 3700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 7 NW 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 51. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 77 PERCENT. WIND SHIFT..........FROM WEST TO NORTH EARLY EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM TEMP............73 64 61 58 57 56 RH..............42 59 69 73 74 76 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 40 40 40 40 40 .TUESDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 64. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 62 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM TEMP............54 53 57 60 62 63 RH..............78 83 73 67 63 62 20 FT WIND......NE 3 NE 3 NE 4 E 4 E 4 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....700 800 800 1100 1900 2700 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 17 NE 17 E 15 E 13 E 10 E 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...HATCH REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101018.JIMBA.01/SGF