FNUS73 KSGF 181535 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTIA CEMETERY...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1035 AM CDT MON OCT 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHERLY TO WEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND OUT OF THE NORTH AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM NORTH TO EASTERLY AND BECOME LIGHT...TUESDAY MORNING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE AROUND 35 PERCENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND PRIOR TO RAINFALL. FOR THE SCOTIA CEMETERY BURN...UP SLOPE WESTERLY WINDS EARLY WILL SHIFT TO NORTHERLY...CROSS SLOPE FLOW IN THE AFTERNOON AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTH LATE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 76 78 RH..............43 35 34 20 FT WIND......W 3 W 4 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 5400 5800 TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 9 NW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 46. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 77 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............72 64 59 56 54 52 RH..............43 58 64 69 73 75 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 4 N 5 N 5 N 5 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 1800 700 600 700 600 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7 NW 8 N 13 N 17 NE 20 NE 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 61. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. WIND SHIFT..........NONE CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............50 48 52 57 59 60 RH..............77 82 69 55 51 47 20 FT WIND......N 3 N 4 NE 4 NE 4 N 4 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....600 500 600 1600 2800 3400 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 21 NE 17 NE 13 NE 8 NE 5 NE 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...GAEDE REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101018.SCOTI.01/SGF