FNUS74 KTSA 182151
FWSTSA

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NICHOLS HILLS...MCN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
451 PM CDT MON OCT 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1705 CDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY AT 10 MPH OR LESS THROUGH THE END OF
THE DAY. A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SHOULD MOVE
THROUGH OKMULGEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL SWITCH AROUND TO NORTHEASTERLY AND WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15
TO 25 MPH RANGE AFTER THE FRONT. CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN WILL
ALSO INCREASE TONIGHT MAINLY AROUND AND AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      5PM
TEMP............83
DEWPT...........52
RH..............34
20FT WIND DIR...S
20FT SPD (MPH)..3
20FT GUST(MPH)..5
CLOUDS (%)......42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
MIXHGT/100(FT)..060
TR WIND DIR.....S
TR WIND SPD(MPH)7
STABILITY.......C
1700FT MIX T (F)83
VENT/1000(M 3/S)006

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3 TO
                    10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............55  54  53  56  59  62  65  67  69  69  70  69
DEWPT...........52  52  52  53  53  53  54  55  55  55  55  55
RH..............86  89  91  85  76  70  67  64  61  60  59  61
20FT WIND DIR...N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20FT SPD (MPH)..3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20FT GUST(MPH)..5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CLOUDS (%)......87  88  86  84  83  81  79  77  73  69  65  61
WEATHER COV.....OCL CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
MIXHGT/100(FT)..003 003 004 008 014 025 038 049 054 055 053 052
TR WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TR WIND SPD(MPH)8   8   10  14  16  15  13  12  12  13  14  15
STABILITY.......F   F   E   D   C   B   B   B   B   B   C   D
1700FT MIX T (F)63  62  61  61  62  63  65  67  69  70  70  68
VENT/1000(M 3/S)000 000 001 002 003 005 007 008 009 010 010 011

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LACY
REQUESTED BY...NICHOLS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101018.NICHO.01/TSA