FNUS73 KDLH 191501
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR DAWKINS   MEED...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1001 AM CDT TUE OCT 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHERN
ONTARIO WILL MOVE OVER THE ARROWHEAD EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE
MOST FAVORED TIME OF A RAIN SHOWER WILL BE IN THE EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST DURING THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS AND MAY OCCASIONALLY GUST NEAR 20 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 35 TO 40 PERCENT
YESTERDAY WILL BE NOTCH HIGHER DAY DUE TO THE APPROACHING FRONT
AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER. BY 3 PM TO 4 PM MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES SHOULD BE IN THE 37 TO 42 PERCENT RANGE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL
                    BY EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41700) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (85800) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
TEMP............44  46  48  49  49  48  46
RH..............51  47  44  40  40  42  45
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   10  10  8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.14  15  16  17  17  14  12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 11 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3950).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
TEMP............43  42  40  39  39  38  37  37  37  36  36  35
RH..............47  48  52  57  59  62  67  70  72  79  79  82
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.8   7   7   7   7   8   8   9   13  14  15  16

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 6000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40400) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (181000)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (307000) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (242000) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............35     37     42     47     49     47
RH..............82     70     55     43     44     49
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..11     14     14     15     15     14
20 FT WIND GUST.18     21     23     24     24     21

$$
FORECASTER...KEVIN
REQUESTED BY...KIRK SOLUM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101019.DAWKI.01/DLH