FNUS74 KEPZ 192200
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WALNUT UNIT...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
400 PM MDT TUE OCT 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1545 MDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE NOW CENTERED JUST OFF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...CONTINUES
TO SLOWLY APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST.  RIGHT INGREDIENTS WILL COME TOGETHER
FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR BURN SITE AND VICINITY
BEGINNING MID-DAY WEDNESDAY...THROUGH THURSDAY.  SOME STORMS WILL LIKELY
REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH VERY STRONG DOWNDRAFTS APPROACHING OR EVEN
EXCEEDING 60 MPH...AND LARGE HAIL.  STORMS WILL BE FAST MOVING SO THREAT
OF FLOODING SHOULD BE MINIMIZED...HOWEVER THREAT OF FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS LIKELY WITH ALL STORMS ESPECIALLY IN THIS ENVIRONMENT.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.


.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY...SHIFTING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101019.WALNU.01/EPZ