FNUS76 KMFR 190841
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCINTOSH UNDERBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
141 AM PDT TUE OCT 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY
AND INTO WEDNESDAY. OFFSHORE EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
WILL GRADUALLY  WEAKEN TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS OVER THE BURN
SITE ARE EXPECTED TO KEEP AN EASTERLY COMPONENT TODAY.  WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE AFTERNOON. ON
WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST. WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. THEN...A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
THIS FRONT MOVES INLAND AND ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. THE FRONT WILL BRING COOLER  TEMPERATURES BUT LITTLE
PRECIPITATION.  A STRONGER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO
THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY BRINGING RAIN AND INCREASED WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    3000-4000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON THEN
                    INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE MID TO
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH VEERING TO THE
                     SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-30
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                    TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 4 TO 8 IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                     TO 2 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 3000-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 5 MPH VEERING TO THE SOUTH
                     IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
                     THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 0 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                      BECOMING VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH THEN BECOMING
                      SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEARLY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS 32 TO 34. HIGHS 65 TO 69. SOUTHWEST 1 TO 4 MPH INCREASING
TO 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS 32 TO 35.
HIGHS 58 TO 61. SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS 33 TO 36. HIGHS 57 TO
60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
6 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...STEVE CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101019.MCINT.01/MFR