FNUS73 KJKL 211005 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR LAUREL...USDA - FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 605 AM EDT THU OCT 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2128 EDT ON OCTOBER 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...DRY COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF OHIO...INDIANA AND ILLINOIS. THE FRONT IS MAINLY IDENTIFIED WITH A SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND THEN BECOME GUSTY WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE WINDS WILL COUPLE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 22 TO 28 PERCENT TO CREATE THE CONDITIONS THAT WARRANT A RED FLAG WARNING. WINDS WILL QUIET THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES FARTHER SOUTH AND HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 20 TO 30 PERCENT FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BUT THE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH THE NEW WORK WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING 7 TO 14 MPH THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AT 8 TO 16 IN THE EVENING. SURROUNDING RIDGE...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE EVENING. RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE EVENING. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........1 3 3 3 2 2 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 52 60 66 67 64 RH..............69 53 39 30 24 26 20 FT WIND......SW 7 W 8 W 10 W 15 NW 15 NW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 20 18 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR WITH FROST POSSIBLE LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT. SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE AT NIGHT. RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE AT NIGHT. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 49 46 44 41 39 RH..............39 46 54 62 69 71 20 FT WIND......NW 6 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3 SW 2 S 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FROST EARLY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........1 3 7 9 10 11 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FROST NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 47 58 64 66 64 RH..............71 49 34 28 25 28 20 FT WIND......SE 1 SE 2 S 3 W 3 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...DUSTY REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101020.LAURE.01/JKL