FNUS74 KMAF 201708
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHISOS SURROGATE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1208 PM CDT WED OCT 20 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1155 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER MEXICO WILL SPREAD MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS TODAY. MOST ASSOCIATED SHOWERS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE
BURN SITE THOUGH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. EASTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY
AND EVEN SOUTHWESTERLY AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO NORTHWEST
TEXAS. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD INCREASE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS WELL.
OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE EXCELLENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING EAST 8
                    TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (24200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (80000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      11 AM        3 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC        S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR       RNSHWR
TEMP............68           74
RH..............49           32
20 FT WIND DIR..E            E
20 FT WIND SPD..11           13
20 FT WIND GUST.             15
MIX HGT (FT)....1500         8000
TRANS WIND DIR..E            S
TRANS WIND SPD..3            10
HAINES INDEX....3            3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............72           60           53
RH..............35           50           82
20 FT WIND DIR..E            E            SE
20 FT WIND SPD..13           12           9
20 FT WIND GUST.15                        10
MIX HGT (FT)....5500         1000         500
TRANS WIND DIR..SE           SE           SE
TRANS WIND SPD..9            11           8
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (45400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (119000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC        S CHC        S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
TEMP............48           60           70
RH..............98           62           40
20 FT WIND DIR..S            SSW          SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9            12           15
20 FT WIND GUST.             17           20
MIX HGT (FT)....500          2000         5000
TRANS WIND DIR..S            S            S
TRANS WIND SPD..4            7            10
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

$$

FORECASTER...HENNIG
REQUESTED BY...TIM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101020.CHISO.01/MAF