FNUS76 KMFR 200504
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCINTOSH UNDERBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1004 PM PDT TUE OCT 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S ALONG WITH LOW HUMIDITY. A SHIFT
IN WINDS TO A MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY....BUT
SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT. DRY WEATHER WILL LIKELY PERSIST
THURSDAY BUT WITH AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER. ON FRIDAY...IT WILL
BE COOLER WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AS A FRONT MOVES EAST OF
THE CASCADES. A MUCH BETTER LIKELIHOOD OF WETTING RAIN EXISTS THIS
WEEKEND AS STRONGER SYSTEMS MOVE ONSHORE INTO OREGON. THE MAIN
IMPACT PERIOD WITH STRONGER WINDS AND RAIN IS EXPECTED SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH VEERING TO SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH VEERING TO SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS. NOT AS WARM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 33 TO 35.
HIGHS 59 TO 65. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
CHILLY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 31 TO 36. HIGHS 48 TO 58. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
CHILLY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 37 TO 42. HIGHS 49 TO 59. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...STEVE CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101020.MCINT.01/MFR