FNUS76 KSTO 192143
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH DISTRICT PILES...STANISLAUS NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
243 PM PDT TUE OCT 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH DRY AND
WARMER CONDITIONS PREVAILING. OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL DIMINISH
SLIGHTLY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WEAKENING RIDGETOP WINDS.
OVERALL PATTERN THEN BEGINS TO CHANGE ON THURSDAY AS A SERIES OF
STORMS APPROACH THE REGION. EXPECT LIGHT PRECIPITATION STARTING
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTERMITTENTLY THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH BRUNT OF PRECIPITATION OCCURRING OVER THE WEEKEND.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........50-53 AT IGNITION...MAX 58-63.
RH..................60-65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 TO 9 MPH AT IGNITION THEN
    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
   RIDGETOP.........EAST 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE
    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE
    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 3600
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7
    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX RH..............80-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING
    SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 MPH
    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 500 FT
    AGL LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 MPH
    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MIN RH..............54-59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
   RIDGETOP.........EAST 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.


FORECASTER...JCLAPP
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CONES
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101020.NORTH.01/STO

$$