FNUS73 KEAX 211518 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 2...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1018 AM CDT THU OCT 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING THROUGH NORTHWEST MISSOURI WILL KEEP WINDS LIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON WITH GENERALLY SUNNY SKIES. THE WEATHER WILL BECOME MUCH MORE UNSETTLED BY FRIDAY EVENING AS MOISTURE STREAMS NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR A FEW PASSING SHOWERS DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FRIDAY NIGHT. THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RAIN WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE OUT OF THE REGION...SO A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............62 68 72 69 RH..............39 31 26 29 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 7 SE 7 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST. HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........15 23 29 33 37 41 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 57 54 52 50 49 RH..............36 47 52 57 63 70 20 FT WIND......E 6 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 3 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.40 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........45 51 60 67 73 83 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............47 51 61 68 72 72 RH..............78 75 57 48 46 50 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 9 S 12 S 14 S 15 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...JULY REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101021.UNIT2.01/EAX