FNUS74 KMAF 202351 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR CHISOS SURROGATE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 651 PM CDT WED OCT 20 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. .DISCUSSION... INCREASED MOISTURE CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION WHICH WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. THICK MORNING CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN A SLOWER RISE IN TEMPERATURES AND IS EXPECTED TO CARRY OVER INTO THE AFTERNOON AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT LEAST 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN RECENT DAYS. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FRIDAY. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY IN THE MORNING. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68-71. MIN HUMIDITY........34-38 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS EARLY 10 TO 15 MPH ON EXPOSED RIDGES...WINDS TURNING SOUTHWEST MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. IN CANYONS WINDS WILL VARIABLE LESS 4-6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (45000 KNOT-FT) BY LATE AFTERNOON. TIME (MDT) 8 AM NOON 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TEMP............62 67 70 RH..............90 50 37 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 13 15 MIX HGT (FT)....500 1000 3000 TRANS WIND DIR..S SW SW TRANS WIND SPD..4 12 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50-55. MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 59 54 RH..............36 50 58 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 5 9 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (FT)....3000 500 500 TRANS WIND DIR..SW W W TRANS WIND SPD..14 6 6 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67-70. MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (42000 KNOT-FT). TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 58 66 RH..............68 43 32 20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 11 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 MIX HGT (FT)....500 1500 3000 TRANS WIND DIR..NW SW SW TRANS WIND SPD..3 10 12 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...MURDOCH REQUESTED BY...TIM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101021.CHISO.01/MAF