FNUS76 KMFR 211815
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLLIER RX...KFIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1115 AM PDT THU OCT 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 PDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST WINDS BASED ON CHEMULT RAWS OBSERVATIONS AND TERRAIN MAP. OF
NOTE...OBSERVATION GIVEN WAS 180 DEGREES DIFFERENT ON THE WIND THAN THE
CHEMULT RAWS.

TODAY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST  WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE THE FIRST IN A
SERIES OF FRONTS. THE ACTUAL FRONT WILL ARRIVE THIS EVENING RESULTING IN
A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AND A GOOD PUSH OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA. SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...THOUGH IT WILL BE SUBSTANTIALLY COOLER
WITH MORE CLOUDS AND A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS.

.TODAY...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WIND BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH LATE THIS
                    MORNING. WIND THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


.TONIGHT...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WIND 1-3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5-15 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.


.FRIDAY...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 0-2 MPH EARLY...THEN SOUTHEAST 1-3 MPH.
                    WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...RANDALL BALEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101021.COLLI.04/MFR