FNUS76 KMFR 211628
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAPTOR 1...CHEMULT RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
928 AM PDT THU OCT 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ONSHORE FLOW HAS BEGUN ACROSS THE AREA AS A PATTERN CHANGE BEGINS.
WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER TODAY...AND ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. IT IS POSSIBLE THEY COULD REMAIN
SOUTHWEST...HOWEVER. RAIN CHANCES THROUGH FRIDAY LOOK BEST OVER AND
NEAR THE CRATE LAKE RIM...WITH ONLY SMALL CHANCES FOR RAIN AT THE BURN
SITE.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1-3 MPH...BECOMING WEST 2-6 MPH DURING
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL DURING THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5-15 MPH...BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING CLOUDY. A SLIGHT (20%) CHANCE
                    OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING 500 FT AGL OR LESS BY LATE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH EARLY EVENING...THEN
                    DIMINISHING TO SOUTHWEST 5-15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.


.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE (30%) OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 1-3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5-15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...GEORGE LIBERCAJT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101021.RAPTO.01/MFR