FNUS73 KMPX 211220
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRENCH LAKE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
720 AM CDT THU OCT 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AT THE BURN SITE TODAY AS THEY WERE
YESTERDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE WORKS ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS SPEEDS WILL BE
FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN THE 5 TO 10 KT RANGE TODAY...WITH PERHAPS A GUST
OR TWO TO 15 KTS THROUGH THE MORNING. DIRECTIONS WILL BE OUT OF THE NW
THROUGH THE MORNING...BUT WILL TREND MORE WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON AS
THE SFC RIDGE SLIDES OVERHEAD. VERY DRY AIRMASS BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD
FRONT WILL ALLOW HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON TO FALL BACK INTO THE 30S...
DESPITE HIGHS ONLY TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 50S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2000-48100) INCREASING TO FAIR TO
                    EXCELLENT (14200-62300) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3300-4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     48     53     55     52     47
RH..............59     44     36     35     39     47
20 FT WIND......NW 7   NW 8   W 7    W 5    W 4    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     10            5
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900-4100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-50300) INCREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (12800-53200) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO
                    28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...USFWS LITCHFIELD WMD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101021.FRENC.01/MPX