FNUS76 KPQR 201950
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BROWDER RIDGE...USFS WNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1250 PM PDT WED OCT 20 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...COOLER THURSDAY WITH RAIN THREAT THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THAT HAS DOMINATED THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE CENTERED OVER
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT ONSHORE LOW-LEVEL
FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE BURN AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
RESULT IN COOLER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY. A
SPLITTING FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD REACH THE COAST LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND MOVE INLAND DURING THE EVENING. LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE CASCADES THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL MARK THE
BEGINNING A MUCH WETTER PERIOD. A SERIES OF SYSTEMS AIDED BY A VERY
STRONG JET STREAM WILL BLAST ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS WEEKEND
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. IT STILL LOOKS QUITE WINDY SATURDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. THE BURN LOCATION WILL LIKELY
SEE SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NOTE:  I WILL LIKELY UPDATE THIS SPOT THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE
0800...MAINLY THE 2-HOUR CHART.


CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (CWR) 0.25 INCHES OR GREATER.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........HIGH CLOUDS IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASING
                    CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON (5 TO 8 TENTHS CLOUD
                    COVER BY 1600).
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 TO 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 TO 38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND IN THE MORNING THEN SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5
                    MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX(MID)...5 (MODERATE).

TIME (PDT)      10 AM     NOON      2 PM      4 PM       6 PM
SKY (%).........50         60        70        70         80
TEMP............53-56     58-61     62-66     60-63     52-55
RH..............50-55     40-47     32-38     35-42     50-55
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 0-2    SW 1-4    SW 2-5    SW 2-5    SW 2-5
   MAX GUST.....                       8        8         8


.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN 1800 TO 2200 THEN
                    RAIN LIKELY.
CWR (%).............20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN SOUTH
                    TO SOUTHWEST.
HAINES INDEX(MID)...4 (LOW).
RAINFALL AMT (IN)...ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY.
CWR (%).............30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 11
                    MPH. WIND EASING TO 2 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
HAINES INDEX(MID)...3 (VERY LOW).
RAINFALL AMT (IN)...0.05 TO 0.15 INCHES.

$$
FORECASTER...WEISHAAR
REQUESTED BY...DREW GRIMES
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101021.BROWD.01/PQR